>>625
>>　逆　Denisが初心者だからPrussはわざわざfixedとrandom valueの違いを示した
>じゃあなんでPrussが以下を言うまでに９レスもかかってんの？
え、そんな後じゃなく、最初に言ってるけど、目に入らないの？
The probabilistic reasoning depends on a conglomerability assumption, namely that given a fixed sequence u⃗
, the probability of guessing correctly is (n−1)/n
, then for a randomly selected sequence, the probability of guessing correctly is (n−1)/n
. But we have no reason to think the event of guessing correctly is measurable with respect to the probability measure induced by the random choice of sequence and index i
, and we have no reason to think that the conglomerability assumption is appropriate.
answered Dec 11, 2013 at 21:07
Alexander Pruss